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This Week's What If for
Bay FC
Currently
s#!t outta luck
#14
Still mathematically alive for the season in 0% of every possible way this week could go (snapshot rank this week could land anywhere from #14 to #15)

Bay FC vs Portland Thorns FC — scenarios this week

Every result across the league this week, checked in every combination — 6,561 possible ways this week could go, computed exactly.

Bay FC hasn't been mathematically eliminated just yet — here's whether each result below keeps that alive (possibly a delulu-alive), and what it would take either way.

If you win this week vs Portland Thorns FC

You could land in #14

Playoff Watch

See you next year — nothing elsewhere this week changes that.

Mathematical range
29–35
what's possible
Likely range
29–35 (med 30)
what's plausible

If you draw this week vs Portland Thorns FC

You could land in #14

Playoff Watch

See you next year — nothing elsewhere this week changes that.

Mathematical range
27–33
what's possible
Likely range
27–33 (med 28)
what's plausible

If you lose this week vs Portland Thorns FC

You could land anywhere from #14 to #15

Dream a little: could climb as high as #14 if…
  • Boston Legacy beats Racing Louisville FC

Playoff Watch

See you next year — nothing elsewhere this week changes that.

Mathematical range
26–32
what's possible
Likely range
26–32 (med 27)
what's plausible

Oct 16
Boston Legacy vs Racing Louisville FC  (upcoming)
Oct 17
Washington Spirit vs NJ/NY Gotham FC  (upcoming)
Oct 17
Utah Royals vs Kansas City Current  (upcoming)
Oct 17
North Carolina Courage vs San Diego Wave FC  (upcoming)
Oct 17
Denver Summit vs Angel City FC  (upcoming)
Oct 18
Houston Dash vs Orlando Pride  (upcoming)
Oct 18
Bay FC vs Portland Thorns FC  (upcoming)
Oct 18
Chicago Stars FC vs Seattle Reign  (upcoming)

"Still in the running" means still mathematically alive for the WHOLE SEASON given this week's result (same logic as the ELIMINATED/CLINCHED check on the league table) — checked exactly across every possible combination of this week's games, not estimated. The mathematical range is the absolute floor-to-ceiling of what's possible; the likely range comes from running the real simulation with this week's result locked in, showing what's actually plausible — the same "reality vs. dream" split as the rest of the site. "Could climb as high as #N" and the CLINCH/tier lines each describe one specific good (or bad) path, not something guaranteed on their own. For their full season-long picture, see their Team View.