Still mathematically alive for the season in 97.5% of every possible way this week could go
(snapshot rank this week could land anywhere from #9 to #10)
Denver Summit vs Angel City FC — scenarios this week
Every result across the league this week, checked in every combination — 6,561 possible ways this week could go, computed exactly.
Denver Summit hasn't been mathematically eliminated just yet — here's whether each result below keeps that alive (possibly a delulu-alive), and what it would take either way.
If you win this week vs Angel City FC
You could land anywhere from #9 to #10
Dream a little: could climb as high as #9 if…
Chicago Stars FC beats Seattle Reign
Playoff Watch
Still in the running. Other results around the league won't affect you — but saying there's still a chance can mean lots of things. Keep the spirit alive.
Mathematical range
41–47
what's possible
Likely range
41–47 (med 44)
what's plausible
If you draw this week vs Angel City FC
You could land in #10
Playoff Watch
Still in the running. Other results around the league won't affect you — but saying there's still a chance can mean lots of things. Keep the spirit alive.
Mathematical range
39–45
what's possible
Likely range
39–45 (med 42)
what's plausible
If you lose this week vs Angel City FC
You could land in #10
Playoff Watch
Still in the running if ONE of these breaks your way…
Utah Royals beats Kansas City Current
North Carolina Courage and San Diego Wave FC draw
San Diego Wave FC beats North Carolina Courage
Bay FC beats Portland Thorns FC
Bay FC and Portland Thorns FC draw
S#!t outta luck if any ONE of these combos happens…
Kansas City Current beats/draws Utah Royals, and North Carolina Courage beats San Diego Wave FC, and Portland Thorns FC beats Bay FC
Mathematical range
38–44
what's possible
Likely range
38–44 (med 41)
what's plausible
Oct 16
Boston Legacy vs
Racing Louisville FC (upcoming)
Oct 17
Washington Spirit vs
NJ/NY Gotham FC (upcoming)
Oct 17
Utah Royals vs
Kansas City Current (upcoming)
Oct 17
North Carolina Courage vs
San Diego Wave FC (upcoming)
Oct 17
Denver Summit vs
Angel City FC (upcoming)
Oct 18
Houston Dash vs
Orlando Pride (upcoming)
Oct 18
Bay FC vs
Portland Thorns FC (upcoming)
Oct 18
Chicago Stars FC vs
Seattle Reign (upcoming)
"Still in the running" means still mathematically alive for the WHOLE SEASON given this week's result (same logic as the ELIMINATED/CLINCHED check on the league table) — checked exactly across every possible combination of this week's games, not estimated. The mathematical range is the absolute floor-to-ceiling of what's possible; the likely range comes from running the real simulation with this week's result locked in, showing what's actually plausible — the same "reality vs. dream" split as the rest of the site. "Could climb as high as #N" and the CLINCH/tier lines each describe one specific good (or bad) path, not something guaranteed on their own. For their full season-long picture, see their Team View.