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This Week's What If for
Washington Spirit
Currently
in control
#3
Playoff Clinch Magic Number: 1 pts
Still mathematically alive for the season in 100% of every possible way this week could go (snapshot rank this week could land anywhere from #2 to #3)

Washington Spirit vs NJ/NY Gotham FC — scenarios this week

Every result across the league this week, checked in every combination — 6,561 possible ways this week could go, computed exactly.

Washington Spirit hasn't been mathematically eliminated just yet — here's whether each result below keeps that alive (possibly a delulu-alive), and what it would take either way.

If you win this week vs NJ/NY Gotham FC

You could land anywhere from #2 to #3

Dream a little: could climb as high as #2 if…
  • North Carolina Courage beats San Diego Wave FC
Best tier: could lock up HOME FIELD (TOP 4) if any ONE of these happens…
  • Utah Royals beats/draws Kansas City Current, and Denver Summit beats/draws Angel City FC, and Bay FC beats/draws Portland Thorns FC

Playoff Watch

Still in the running. Other results around the league won't affect you — but saying there's still a chance can mean lots of things. Keep the spirit alive.

Mathematical range
52–58
what's possible
Likely range
52–58 (med 56)
what's plausible

If you draw this week vs NJ/NY Gotham FC

You could land in #3

Playoff Watch

Still in the running. Other results around the league won't affect you — but saying there's still a chance can mean lots of things. Keep the spirit alive.

Mathematical range
50–56
what's possible
Likely range
50–56 (med 54)
what's plausible

If you lose this week vs NJ/NY Gotham FC

You could land in #3

Playoff Watch

Still in the running. Other results around the league won't affect you — but saying there's still a chance can mean lots of things. Keep the spirit alive.

Mathematical range
49–55
what's possible
Likely range
49–55 (med 53)
what's plausible

Oct 16
Boston Legacy vs Racing Louisville FC  (upcoming)
Oct 17
Washington Spirit vs NJ/NY Gotham FC  (upcoming)
Oct 17
Utah Royals vs Kansas City Current  (upcoming)
Oct 17
North Carolina Courage vs San Diego Wave FC  (upcoming)
Oct 17
Denver Summit vs Angel City FC  (upcoming)
Oct 18
Houston Dash vs Orlando Pride  (upcoming)
Oct 18
Bay FC vs Portland Thorns FC  (upcoming)
Oct 18
Chicago Stars FC vs Seattle Reign  (upcoming)

"Still in the running" means still mathematically alive for the WHOLE SEASON given this week's result (same logic as the ELIMINATED/CLINCHED check on the league table) — checked exactly across every possible combination of this week's games, not estimated. The mathematical range is the absolute floor-to-ceiling of what's possible; the likely range comes from running the real simulation with this week's result locked in, showing what's actually plausible — the same "reality vs. dream" split as the rest of the site. "Could climb as high as #N" and the CLINCH/tier lines each describe one specific good (or bad) path, not something guaranteed on their own. For their full season-long picture, see their Team View.